Nigeria — Boko Haram / ISWAP Insurgency
The Boko Haram insurgency, now split between ISWAP (Islamic State West Africa Province) and Jamā'at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da'wah wa'l-Jihād factions, has devastated northeast Nigeria for 15+ years. ISWAP has emerged as the dominant faction and controls rural Lake Chad Basin territory, while conducting regular attacks on military outposts and civilian communities.
Dossier summary
Current conflict profile
The Boko Haram insurgency, now split between ISWAP (Islamic State West Africa Province) and Jamā'at Ahl as-Sunnah lid-Da'wah wa'l-Jihād factions, has devastated northeast Nigeria for 15+ years. ISWAP has emerged as the dominant faction and controls rural Lake Chad Basin territory, while conducting regular attacks on military outposts and civilian communities.
Persistence drivers
Why this conflict persists
The insurgency persists due to extreme poverty and unemployment in northeast Nigeria, perception of government corruption and abuse by security forces, ISWAP's superior governance model (providing basic services in controlled areas), Lake Chad Basin geography enabling cross-border movement, and difficulty coordinating a multinational military response.
Human and economic impact
Displacement, fatalities, and economic pressure
The live side tables for actors, displacement timeseries, economy rows, forecasts, events, and timeline are currently empty for this conflict, so this static dossier uses the verified inline conflict record.
Outlook
Risk and spillover assessment
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