Static conflict dossier

Niger — Post-Coup Instability & Jihadist Pressure

The July 2023 coup by General Abdourahamane Tchiani toppled elected President Mohamed Bazoum, triggering an ECOWAS standoff and the departure of US/French forces. Niger's military government joined Mali and Burkina Faso in forming the Alliance of Sahel States. Jihadist violence from JNIM and ISGS continues to escalate particularly in Tillabéri and Tahoua regions.

Active Coup/Post-Coup West Africa and Sahel Updated 27 Mar 2026

Dossier summary

Current conflict profile

The July 2023 coup by General Abdourahamane Tchiani toppled elected President Mohamed Bazoum, triggering an ECOWAS standoff and the departure of US/French forces. Niger's military government joined Mali and Burkina Faso in forming the Alliance of Sahel States. Jihadist violence from JNIM and ISGS continues to escalate particularly in Tillabéri and Tahoua regions.

Persistence drivers

Why this conflict persists

Post-coup instability weakens counter-insurgency capacity just as jihadist pressure increases. Expulsion of Western partners creates security vacuum. Niger's uranium wealth (6% of global supply, critical for EU energy) creates external interest that complicates leverage.

Human and economic impact

Displacement, fatalities, and economic pressure

Estimated fatalities 3K-8K ACLED
Total displaced 600K UNHCR/IDMC
IDPs 310K As of 1 Dec 2024
Refugees 290K UNHCR/IDMC
Military spend per year USD 280M
Estimated economic loss USD 0.8-2.5B

The live side tables for actors, displacement timeseries, economy rows, forecasts, events, and timeline are currently empty for this conflict, so this static dossier uses the verified inline conflict record.

Outlook

Risk and spillover assessment

Escalation risk High
Spillover risk High
Spillover exposure NG, ML, and BF
Conflict stage Stage 2

Related dossiers

Nearby pressure points