Horn of Africa — Post-Tigray Instability
The Tigray War (2020-2022) between Ethiopian federal forces (with Eritrean alliance) and TPLF was among the deadliest conflicts globally in the 21st century. The November 2022 Pretoria Peace Agreement formally ended hostilities but justice mechanisms are absent, reconstruction has not begun, Tigray remains blockaded, and Eritrean forces have not fully withdrawn.
Dossier summary
Current conflict profile
The Tigray War (2020-2022) between Ethiopian federal forces (with Eritrean alliance) and TPLF was among the deadliest conflicts globally in the 21st century. The November 2022 Pretoria Peace Agreement formally ended hostilities but justice mechanisms are absent, reconstruction has not begun, Tigray remains blockaded, and Eritrean forces have not fully withdrawn.
Persistence drivers
Why this conflict persists
Latent instability remains because Eritrean forces still occupy parts of western Tigray, the peace deal has no accountability mechanism, displaced Tigrayans have not returned, and Abiy Ahmed faces additional internal conflicts in Amhara and Oromia simultaneously.
Human and economic impact
Displacement, fatalities, and economic pressure
The live side tables for actors, displacement timeseries, economy rows, forecasts, events, and timeline are currently empty for this conflict, so this static dossier uses the verified inline conflict record.
Outlook
Risk and spillover assessment
Related dossiers